Topline — 2026-07-30-FD Northeast Somerset and Hanham

502 respondents · Unweighted · 66 questions · generated 2026-09-21 12:13 UTC

Provisional: live fieldwork, 502 interviews so far. Percentages are of each question's valid base (missing/not-asked excluded). Right-hand grey figure = count.

Quota fill from response data

Computed directly from the answers, so it stays correct even when a survey's platform quota counter is broken. ⚠ = platform counter disagrees.

age_quota

18 – 24

27/9999

25 – 34

74/9999

35 – 44

50/9999

45 – 54

64/9999

55 – 64

102/9999

65 – 74

76/9999

75+

96/9999

gender_quota

Male

240/9999

Female

260/9999

Other

0/9999

Prefer not to say

2/9999

education_quota

Below degree level qualifications (e.g. no formal qualifications, GCSE, A Levels, higher education qualifications such as HNC or HND)

329/9999

Degree level or above qualifications (e.g. undergraduate degree, PGCE, Master's, PhD, postgraduate qualifications)

173/9999

ethnicity_quota

White

449/9999

Black or Black British

4/9999

Asian or Asian British

6/9999

Mixed

8/9999

Other

4/9999

ward [CONFIRM WARD]

Base: 502

Hanham

14.3%

Longwell Green

12.0%

Keynsham East

10.2%

Bitton & Oldland Common

8.8%

Parkwall & Warmley

8.8%

Saltford

8.6%

Chew Valley

7.0%

Keynsham North

6.2%

Keynsham South

6.0%

Clutton & Farmborough

4.0%

Publow & Whitchurch

4.0%

Timsbury

3.6%

Paulton

3.0%

High Littleton

2.2%

Mendip

1.6%

q3 Are you registered to vote in a General Election?

Base: 502

Yes

93.6%

470

4.6%

Don't know

1.8%

q4 If there were a General Election tomorrow, on a scale from 0 to 10, where 0 is "certain not to vote" and 10 is "certain to vote", how likely would you be to vote in it?

Base: 502

10 - Certain to vote

62.0%

311

0 - Certain not to vote

11.8%

7.2%

6.4%

4.8%

3.2%

1.4%

1.0%

0.8%

q5 If there was a General Election tomorrow, which party would you vote for, or would you not vote?If you are unsure, please select who you think you would be most likely to vote for.

Base: 443

Don't know

23.9%

106

Reform UK [PROMPT]

17.4%

Prefer not to say

13.5%

Conservatives [PROMPT]

13.3%

Labour [PROMPT]

13.3%

Green Party [PROMPT]

6.3%

Restore Britain [PROMPT]

4.5%

Liberal Democrats [PROMPT]

3.8%

I would not vote

2.9%

Other party or independent candidate [PROMPT]

0.9%

A5_ge24 How did you vote in the UK 2024 General Election, or did you not vote?

Base: 502

Did not vote

23.9%

120

Labour [PROMPT]

22.5%

113

Conservative [PROMPT]

20.3%

102

Prefer not to say

11.2%

Reform UK [PROMPT]

8.4%

Can't remember

7.6%

Green Party [PROMPT]

3.2%

Liberal Democrats [PROMPT]

2.8%

Another party or an independent candidate [PROMPT]

0.2%

q1_ge19 How did you vote in the UK 2019 General Election, or did you not vote?

Base: 502

Conservatives (led by Boris Johnson) [PROMPT]

32.3%

162

I did not vote

17.1%

Can't remember

16.7%

Labour (led by Jeremy Corbyn) [PROMPT]

13.5%

Prefer not to say

9.2%

Liberal Democrats (led by Jo Swinson) [PROMPT]

4.2%

I was too young to vote

4.2%

Green Party (led by Siân Berry and Jonathan Bartley) [PROMPT]

1.6%

Brexit Party (led by Nigel Farage) [PROMPT]

1.0%

Another party or an independent candidate [PROMPT]

0.2%

q6_1 q6 - How favourable or unfavourable do you feel about each of the following political figures, if at all? Kemi Badenoch

Base: 502

Don't know who this person is

27.7%

139

Somewhat favourable

22.5%

113

Neither favourable nor unfavourable

16.9%

Somewhat unfavourable

13.1%

Very unfavourable

10.6%

Very favourable

9.2%

q6_2 q6 - How favourable or unfavourable do you feel about each of the following political figures, if at all? Andy Burnham

Base: 502

Neither favourable nor unfavourable

29.3%

147

Somewhat favourable

23.1%

116

Very unfavourable

14.9%

Don't know who this person is

13.9%

Very favourable

10.0%

Somewhat unfavourable

8.8%

q6_3 q6 - How favourable or unfavourable do you feel about each of the following political figures, if at all? Nigel Farage

Base: 502

Very unfavourable

41.0%

206

Somewhat favourable

13.7%

Neither favourable nor unfavourable

13.5%

Somewhat unfavourable

12.0%

Very favourable

11.8%

Don't know who this person is

8.0%

q6_4 q6 - How favourable or unfavourable do you feel about each of the following political figures, if at all? Ed Davey

Base: 502

Don't know who this person is

32.5%

163

Neither favourable nor unfavourable

24.1%

121

Somewhat unfavourable

13.3%

Very unfavourable

13.1%

Somewhat favourable

12.7%

Very favourable

4.2%

q6_5 q6 - How favourable or unfavourable do you feel about each of the following political figures, if at all? Zack Polanski

Base: 502

Don't know who this person is

35.7%

179

Very unfavourable

30.1%

151

Neither favourable nor unfavourable

15.1%

Somewhat unfavourable

11.2%

Somewhat favourable

5.6%

Very favourable

2.4%

q6_6 q6 - How favourable or unfavourable do you feel about each of the following political figures, if at all? Rupert Lowe

Base: 502

Don't know who this person is

46.6%

234

Very unfavourable

18.1%

Neither favourable nor unfavourable

13.5%

Somewhat favourable

7.6%

Somewhat unfavourable

7.6%

Very favourable

6.6%

q6_7 q6 - How favourable or unfavourable do you feel about each of the following political figures, if at all? Jacob Rees-Mogg

Base: 502

Very unfavourable

25.9%

130

Neither favourable nor unfavourable

16.3%

Somewhat favourable

15.7%

Somewhat unfavourable

15.7%

Don't know who this person is

15.1%

Very favourable

11.2%

q6_8 q6 - How favourable or unfavourable do you feel about each of the following political figures, if at all? Dan Norris

Base: 502

Very unfavourable

41.8%

210

Don't know who this person is

21.3%

107

Neither favourable nor unfavourable

14.3%

Somewhat unfavourable

11.8%

Somewhat favourable

9.0%

Very favourable

1.8%

q7 As you may or may not be aware, the current MP of North East Somerset and Hanham is Dan Norris.How well do you think he has performed as MP?

Base: 502

Neither well nor badly [PROMPT]

41.4%

208

Very badly [PROMPT]

30.9%

155

Somewhat badly [PROMPT]

15.3%

Somewhat well [PROMPT]

8.8%

Very well [PROMPT]

3.6%

q8 As you may or may not be aware, the previous MP here was Jacob Rees-Mogg.How well do you think he performed as MP?

Base: 502

Neither well nor badly [PROMPT]

34.5%

173

Somewhat well [PROMPT]

22.1%

111

Very badly [PROMPT]

14.5%

Somewhat badly [PROMPT]

14.5%

Very well [PROMPT]

14.3%

q9_1 q9 - Comparing Dan Norris and Jacob Rees-Mogg, which person best matches the following traits or statements, in your opinion? Cares more about the local area

Base: 502

Jacob Rees-Mogg [PROMPT]

38.4%

193

Don't know

24.1%

121

Dan Norris [PROMPT]

20.7%

104

None of these

16.7%

q9_2 q9 - Comparing Dan Norris and Jacob Rees-Mogg, which person best matches the following traits or statements, in your opinion? Cares more about people like me

Base: 502

Jacob Rees-Mogg [PROMPT]

33.1%

166

Don't know

25.3%

127

Dan Norris [PROMPT]

21.5%

108

None of these

20.1%

101

q9_3 q9 - Comparing Dan Norris and Jacob Rees-Mogg, which person best matches the following traits or statements, in your opinion? Has the better priorities for the country

Base: 502

Jacob Rees-Mogg [PROMPT]

35.9%

180

Don't know

28.7%

144

None of these

18.1%

Dan Norris [PROMPT]

17.3%

q9_4 q9 - Comparing Dan Norris and Jacob Rees-Mogg, which person best matches the following traits or statements, in your opinion? More trustworthy

Base: 502

Jacob Rees-Mogg [PROMPT]

37.6%

189

Don't know

27.1%

136

None of these

21.7%

109

Dan Norris [PROMPT]

13.5%

q9_5 q9 - Comparing Dan Norris and Jacob Rees-Mogg, which person best matches the following traits or statements, in your opinion? More competent

Base: 502

Jacob Rees-Mogg [PROMPT]

41.4%

208

Don't know

25.3%

127

None of these

17.9%

Dan Norris [PROMPT]

15.3%

q9_6 q9 - Comparing Dan Norris and Jacob Rees-Mogg, which person best matches the following traits or statements, in your opinion? More likely to get things done

Base: 502

Jacob Rees-Mogg [PROMPT]

39.6%

199

Don't know

27.5%

138

None of these

16.5%

Dan Norris [PROMPT]

16.3%

q10 What are you looking for in your ideal MP?

Base: 502

Someone who has been an MP before [PROMPT]

36.9%

185

Don't know

35.5%

178

Someone who has never been an MP before [PROMPT]

27.7%

139

q11 What are you looking for in your ideal MP?

Base: 502

A lower-profile political figure who is only well known in Somerset and Gloucestershire [PROMPT]

52.6%

264

Don't know

30.5%

153

A high-profile national figure who is well known across the country [PROMPT]

16.9%

q12 What are you looking for in your ideal MP?

Base: 502

Someone focused mainly on local issues [PROMPT]

61.8%

310

Someone focused mainly on national issues [PROMPT]

20.9%

105

Don't know

17.3%

q13 Imagine that an election was taking place only in North East Somerset and Hanham to elect a new MP. Which candidate would you vote for?

Base: 502

I would not vote

28.1%

141

The Conservative candidate [PROMPT]

17.5%

The Labour candidate [PROMPT]

17.1%

The Reform UK candidate [PROMPT]

17.1%

A candidate representing a different party or an independent candidate [PROMPT]

7.6%

The Green Party candidate [PROMPT]

6.6%

The Liberal Democrat candidate [PROMPT]

6.0%

q14 And if a by-election were held tomorrow and candidates from all political parties were standing in your constituency, for which of these candidates would you vote?

Base: 502

I would not vote

27.3%

137

Jacob Rees-Mogg (Conservative candidate) [PROMPT]

22.3%

112

Robin Moss (Labour candidate) [PROMPT]

15.3%

Paul MacDonnell (Reform UK candidate) [PROMPT]

15.1%

A candidate representing a different party or an independent candidate [PROMPT]

7.4%

Edmund Cannon (Green Party candidate) [PROMPT]

7.0%

Dine Romero (Liberal Democrat candidate) [PROMPT]

5.6%

A1_age What is your age?

Base: 502

55 – 64

20.3%

102

75+

19.1%

65 – 74

15.1%

25 – 34

14.7%

45 – 54

12.7%

35 – 44

10.0%

18 – 24

5.4%

Refused

2.6%

age_quota_A_1 age_quota_A - A1_age.a=18 – 24

Base: 27

A1_age.a=18 – 24

100.0%

age_quota_A_2 age_quota_A - A1_age.a=25 – 34

Base: 74

A1_age.a=25 – 34

100.0%

age_quota_A_3 age_quota_A - A1_age.a=35 – 44

Base: 50

A1_age.a=35 – 44

100.0%

age_quota_A_4 age_quota_A - A1_age.a=45 – 54

Base: 64

A1_age.a=45 – 54

100.0%

age_quota_A_5 age_quota_A - A1_age.a=55 – 64

Base: 102

A1_age.a=55 – 64

100.0%

102

age_quota_A_6 age_quota_A - A1_age.a=65 – 74

Base: 76

A1_age.a=65 – 74

100.0%

age_quota_A_7 age_quota_A - A1_age.a=75+

Base: 96

A1_age.a=75+

100.0%

age_quota_B_1 age_quota_B - A1_age.a=18 – 24

Base: 27

A1_age.a=18 – 24

100.0%

age_quota_B_2 age_quota_B - A1_age.a=25 – 34

Base: 74

A1_age.a=25 – 34

100.0%

age_quota_B_3 age_quota_B - A1_age.a=35 – 44

Base: 50

A1_age.a=35 – 44

100.0%

age_quota_B_4 age_quota_B - A1_age.a=45 – 54

Base: 64

A1_age.a=45 – 54

100.0%

age_quota_B_5 age_quota_B - A1_age.a=55 – 64

Base: 102

A1_age.a=55 – 64

100.0%

102

age_quota_B_6 age_quota_B - A1_age.a=65 – 74

Base: 76

A1_age.a=65 – 74

100.0%

age_quota_B_7 age_quota_B - A1_age.a=75+

Base: 96

A1_age.a=75+

100.0%

A1_age_refused [ENTER AGE]

Base: 13

45 – 54

30.8%

25 – 34

23.1%

65 – 74

23.1%

18 – 24

7.7%

35 – 44

7.7%

75+

7.7%

A2_gender What is your gender?

Base: 502

Female

51.8%

260

Male

47.8%

240

Prefer not to say

0.4%

gender_quota_A_1 gender_quota_A - A2_gender.a=Male

Base: 240

A2_gender.a=Male

100.0%

240

gender_quota_A_2 gender_quota_A - A2_gender.a=Female

Base: 260

A2_gender.a=Female

100.0%

260

gender_quota_A_4 gender_quota_A - A2_gender.a=Prefer not to say

Base: 2

A2_gender.a=Prefer not to say

100.0%

gender_quota_B_1 gender_quota_B - A2_gender.a=Male

Base: 240

A2_gender.a=Male

100.0%

240

gender_quota_B_2 gender_quota_B - A2_gender.a=Female

Base: 260

A2_gender.a=Female

100.0%

260

gender_quota_B_4 gender_quota_B - A2_gender.a=Prefer not to say

Base: 2

A2_gender.a=Prefer not to say

100.0%

A3_education What is the highest level of education you have attained so far?

Base: 502

Below degree level qualifications (e.g. no formal qualifications, GCSE, A Levels, higher education qualifications such a

65.5%

329

Degree level or above qualifications (e.g. undergraduate degree, PGCE, Master's, PhD, postgraduate qualifications)

34.5%

173

education_quota_A_1 education_quota_A - A3_education.a=Below degree level qualifications (e.g. no formal qualifications, GCSE, A Levels, higher education qualifications such as HNC or HND)

Base: 329

A3_education.a=Below degree level qualifications (e.g. no formal qualifications, GCSE, A Levels, higher education qualif

100.0%

329

education_quota_A_2 education_quota_A - A3_education.a=Degree level or above qualifications (e.g. undergraduate degree, PGCE, Master's, PhD, postgraduate qualifications)

Base: 173

A3_education.a=Degree level or above qualifications (e.g. undergraduate degree, PGCE, Master's, PhD, postgraduate qualif

100.0%

173

education_quota_B_1 education_quota_B - A3_education.a=Below degree level qualifications (e.g. no formal qualifications, GCSE, A Levels, higher education qualifications such as HNC or HND)

Base: 329

A3_education.a=Below degree level qualifications (e.g. no formal qualifications, GCSE, A Levels, higher education qualif

100.0%

329

education_quota_B_2 education_quota_B - A3_education.a=Degree level or above qualifications (e.g. undergraduate degree, PGCE, Master's, PhD, postgraduate qualifications)

Base: 173

A3_education.a=Degree level or above qualifications (e.g. undergraduate degree, PGCE, Master's, PhD, postgraduate qualif

100.0%

173

A4_ethnicity To which of the following ethnic groups do you consider yourself to belong to?

Base: 502

White

89.4%

449

[Refused]

6.2%

Mixed

1.6%

Asian or Asian British

1.2%

Black or Black British

0.8%

Other

0.8%

ethnicity_quota_A_1 ethnicity_quota_A - A4_ethnicity.a=White

Base: 449

A4_ethnicity.a=White

100.0%

449

ethnicity_quota_A_2 ethnicity_quota_A - A4_ethnicity.a=Black or Black British

Base: 4

A4_ethnicity.a=Black or Black British

100.0%

ethnicity_quota_A_3 ethnicity_quota_A - A4_ethnicity.a=Asian or Asian British

Base: 6

A4_ethnicity.a=Asian or Asian British

100.0%

ethnicity_quota_A_4 ethnicity_quota_A - A4_ethnicity.a=Mixed

Base: 8

A4_ethnicity.a=Mixed

100.0%

ethnicity_quota_A_5 ethnicity_quota_A - A4_ethnicity.a=Other

Base: 4

A4_ethnicity.a=Other

100.0%

ethnicity_quota_B_1 ethnicity_quota_B - A4_ethnicity.a=White

Base: 449

A4_ethnicity.a=White

100.0%

449

ethnicity_quota_B_2 ethnicity_quota_B - A4_ethnicity.a=Black or Black British

Base: 4

A4_ethnicity.a=Black or Black British

100.0%

ethnicity_quota_B_3 ethnicity_quota_B - A4_ethnicity.a=Asian or Asian British

Base: 6

A4_ethnicity.a=Asian or Asian British

100.0%

ethnicity_quota_B_4 ethnicity_quota_B - A4_ethnicity.a=Mixed

Base: 8

A4_ethnicity.a=Mixed

100.0%

ethnicity_quota_B_5 ethnicity_quota_B - A4_ethnicity.a=Other

Base: 4

A4_ethnicity.a=Other

100.0%