survation. ← Fieldwork

Topline — 2026-06-02-IW-MAK

325 respondents · Unweighted · 39 questions · generated 2026-09-21 12:19 UTC
Provisional: live fieldwork, 325 interviews so far. Percentages are of each question's valid base (missing/not-asked excluded). Right-hand grey figure = count.

Quota fill from response data

Computed directly from the answers, so it stays correct even when a survey's platform quota counter is broken. ⚠ = platform counter disagrees.
ward
Burnage
34/80 ⚠
Gorton and Abbey Hey
44/91 ⚠
Levenshulme
46/85 ⚠
Longsight
1/90 ⚠
Audenshaw
38/54 ⚠
Denton North East
28/49 ⚠
Denton South
2/51 ⚠
Denton West
11/50 ⚠
agecat
18-24
17/84
25-34
13/105
35-44
30/106
45-54
65/86
55-64
87/150
65-74
113/150
agecat_large
18-34
30/9999
35-54
95/9999
55+
200/9999
sex_quota
Male
175/281 ⚠
Female
150/269 ⚠

ward Can I confirm that you live in the [NAME] ward?[If they don't know, ask for postcode, so the ward can be looked up here]

Base: 325
Bryn with Ashton-in-Makerfield North
14.2%
46
Winstanley
14.2%
46
Ashton-in-Makerfield South
13.5%
44
Hindley
11.7%
38
Worsley Mesnes
11.7%
38
Orrell
11.4%
37
Abram
10.5%
34
Hindley Green
8.6%
28
Leigh West
3.4%
11
Ince
0.6%
2
Golborne and Lowton West
0.3%
1

ltv There is an upcoming by-election in the Makerfield constituency to be held on 18th June. On a scale of 0 - 10, where 0 is would not vote and 10 is certain to vote, how likely would you be to vote in this by-election?

Base: 325
10 - Certain to vote
79.7%
259
0 - Would not vote
6.5%
21
8
3.4%
11
5
3.1%
10
9
2.5%
8
7
2.2%
7
2
0.9%
3
6
0.9%
3
1
0.6%
2
3
0.3%
1

evi And if the by-election was held tomorrow, for which party would you vote?

Base: 304
Andy Burnham - Labour [PROMPT]
47.4%
144
Robert Kenyon - Reform UK [PROMPT]
26.3%
80
UNDECIDED [DO NOT PROMPT]
10.5%
32
REFUSED [DO NOT PROMPT]
7.2%
22
Rebecca Shepherd - Restore Britain [PROMPT]
5.3%
16
Michael Winstanley - Conservative [PROMPT]
1.6%
5
Jake Austin - Liberal Democrat [PROMPT]
0.7%
2
Another party [PROMPT - AND FOLLOW UP, WHICH PARTY?]
0.7%
2
Sarah Wakefield - Green Party [PROMPT]
0.3%
1

evi_undecided Whilst you are undecided, is there a candidate/party that you are leaning towards the most?

Base: 32
UNDECIDED [DO NOT PROMPT]
56.2%
18
Andy Burnham - Labour [PROMPT]
25.0%
8
Robert Kenyon - Reform UK [PROMPT]
15.6%
5
REFUSED [DO NOT PROMPT]
3.1%
1

ge24 Thinking back to the last UK General Election, held in July 2024, which party or candidate did you vote for, or did you not vote?

Base: 325
Josh Simons - Labour [PROMPT]
38.5%
125
Did not vote [PROMPT]
21.5%
70
Robert Kenyon - Reform [PROMPT]
17.2%
56
Simon Finkelstein - Conservative [PROMPT]
8.9%
29
Refused [DO NOT PROMPT]
5.8%
19
Can't remember [DO NOT PROMPT]
4.9%
16
Maria Deery - Green Party [PROMPT]
2.2%
7
John Skipworth - Liberal Democrats [PROMPT]
0.9%
3

gm24 Thinking back to the 2024 Greater Manchester mayoral election, which party or candidate did you vote for, or did you not vote?

Base: 325
Did not vote [PROMPT]
42.2%
137
Andy Burnham - Labour [PROMPT]
36.6%
119
Can't remember [DO NOT PROMPT]
7.1%
23
Dan Barker - Reform UK [PROMPT]
5.2%
17
Refused [DO NOT PROMPT]
4.3%
14
Laura Evans - Conservative [PROMPT]
3.4%
11
Nick Buckley - Independent [PROMPT]
0.9%
3
Hannah Spencer - Green [PROMPT]
0.3%
1

eu16 Thinking back to the EU referendum in 2016, how did you vote in the referendum, or did you not vote?

Base: 325
Remain
35.1%
114
Leave
34.8%
113
Did not vote
18.2%
59
Can’t remember [DO NOT PROMPT]
7.4%
24
Refused [DO NOT PROMPT]
4.6%
15

q1 Thinking about the Makerfield by-election, which of the following best describes what you believe is most at stake?

Base: 325
Getting a good local MP who cares about the area [PROMPT]
43.4%
141
Opening the way for Andy Burnham to become Prime Minister [PROMPT]
16.6%
54
Stopping Reform from winning the seat [PROMPT]
16.3%
53
Sending the Labour government a message [PROMPT]
13.8%
45
Don't know [DO NOT PROMPT]
9.8%
32

q2_1 q2 - Before I ask you about the candidates, I'd like to ask whether you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of the following: Andy Burnham

Base: 325
Strongly favourable
40.3%
131
Strongly unfavourable
24.6%
80
Somewhat favourable
15.7%
51
Neither favourable nor unfavourable
9.8%
32
Somewhat unfavourable
4.9%
16
Don't know
4.6%
15

q2_2 q2 - Before I ask you about the candidates, I'd like to ask whether you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of the following: Robert Kenyon

Base: 325
Strongly unfavourable
32.6%
106
Strongly favourable
17.5%
57
Don't know
17.2%
56
Neither favourable nor unfavourable
14.8%
48
Somewhat unfavourable
10.5%
34
Somewhat favourable
7.4%
24

RandomNumberGenerator1 This question is hidden to select ONE random number between 1 and 3The question is automatically hidden - NO need to write sys_range (and pls don't because it will mess it up)If you want to change the number of options:1 - Dele

Base: 325
2
52.6%
171
1
47.4%
154

q3_a_1 q3_a - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so

Base: 153
Agree strongly
40.5%
62
Disagree strongly
20.9%
32
Agree somewhat
17.0%
26
Neither agree nor disagree
16.3%
25
Disagree somewhat
5.2%
8

q3_a_2 q3_a - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so

Base: 153
Agree strongly
62.1%
95
Agree somewhat
20.3%
31
Neither agree nor disagree
9.8%
15
Disagree somewhat
4.6%
7
Disagree strongly
3.3%
5

q3_a_3 q3_a - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so

Base: 153
Agree strongly
39.2%
60
Agree somewhat
21.6%
33
Disagree strongly
19.6%
30
Neither agree nor disagree
13.7%
21
Disagree somewhat
5.9%
9

q3_a_4 q3_a - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so

Base: 153
Agree strongly
30.1%
46
Disagree strongly
29.4%
45
Disagree somewhat
18.3%
28
Neither agree nor disagree
15.0%
23
Agree somewhat
7.2%
11

q3_a_5 q3_a - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so

Base: 153
Agree strongly
66.0%
101
Agree somewhat
13.7%
21
Neither agree nor disagree
13.1%
20
Disagree somewhat
4.6%
7
Disagree strongly
2.6%
4

q3_a_6 q3_a - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so

Base: 153
Agree strongly
34.0%
52
Disagree strongly
23.5%
36
Agree somewhat
22.2%
34
Neither agree nor disagree
14.4%
22
Disagree somewhat
5.9%
9

q3_a_7 q3_a - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so

Base: 153
Agree strongly
36.6%
56
Agree somewhat
22.9%
35
Neither agree nor disagree
19.6%
30
Disagree strongly
15.0%
23
Disagree somewhat
5.9%
9

q3_b_1 q3_b - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so

Base: 172
Agree strongly
36.6%
63
Disagree strongly
21.5%
37
Agree somewhat
17.4%
30
Neither agree nor disagree
16.3%
28
Disagree somewhat
8.1%
14

q3_b_2 q3_b - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so

Base: 172
Agree strongly
34.9%
60
Agree somewhat
20.9%
36
Disagree strongly
18.6%
32
Neither agree nor disagree
17.4%
30
Disagree somewhat
8.1%
14

q3_b_3 q3_b - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so

Base: 172
Agree strongly
25.0%
43
Agree somewhat
23.8%
41
Disagree strongly
19.8%
34
Neither agree nor disagree
18.0%
31
Disagree somewhat
13.4%
23

q3_b_4 q3_b - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so

Base: 172
Agree strongly
38.4%
66
Disagree strongly
19.8%
34
Neither agree nor disagree
16.9%
29
Agree somewhat
15.1%
26
Disagree somewhat
9.9%
17

q3_b_5 q3_b - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so

Base: 172
Agree strongly
30.8%
53
Disagree strongly
24.4%
42
Agree somewhat
20.3%
35
Neither agree nor disagree
18.0%
31
Disagree somewhat
6.4%
11

q3_b_6 q3_b - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so

Base: 172
Disagree strongly
47.1%
81
Agree strongly
21.5%
37
Neither agree nor disagree
16.9%
29
Disagree somewhat
7.6%
13
Agree somewhat
7.0%
12

q3_b_7 q3_b - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so

Base: 172
Agree strongly
41.3%
71
Agree somewhat
27.9%
48
Neither agree nor disagree
16.9%
29
Disagree strongly
7.6%
13
Disagree somewhat
6.4%
11

q4_1 q4 - I would now like to ask you about the two parties on the right of British politics standing in Makerfield. For each of the following statements, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree somewh

Base: 101
Agree strongly
63.4%
64
Neither agree nor disagree
14.9%
15
Agree somewhat
7.9%
8
Disagree strongly
7.9%
8
Disagree somewhat
5.9%
6

q4_2 q4 - I would now like to ask you about the two parties on the right of British politics standing in Makerfield. For each of the following statements, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree somewh

Base: 101
Disagree strongly
27.7%
28
Neither agree nor disagree
25.7%
26
Agree strongly
18.8%
19
Agree somewhat
14.9%
15
Disagree somewhat
12.9%
13

q4_3 q4 - I would now like to ask you about the two parties on the right of British politics standing in Makerfield. For each of the following statements, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree somewh

Base: 101
Disagree strongly
31.7%
32
Neither agree nor disagree
25.7%
26
Disagree somewhat
16.8%
17
Agree strongly
15.8%
16
Agree somewhat
9.9%
10

q5_1 q5 - You said you'd give yourself a out of 10 for likelihood of voting. I'd like to understand what might make you more certain to vote in the by-election. Please tell me how much each of the following would increase your likelihood of voting, on a

Base: 9
5 - Definitely
44.4%
4
1 - No difference
22.2%
2
4
22.2%
2
3
11.1%
1

q5_2 q5 - You said you'd give yourself a out of 10 for likelihood of voting. I'd like to understand what might make you more certain to vote in the by-election. Please tell me how much each of the following would increase your likelihood of voting, on a

Base: 9
5 - Definitely
33.3%
3
1 - No difference
22.2%
2
2
22.2%
2
3
11.1%
1
4
11.1%
1

q5_3 q5 - You said you'd give yourself a out of 10 for likelihood of voting. I'd like to understand what might make you more certain to vote in the by-election. Please tell me how much each of the following would increase your likelihood of voting, on a

Base: 9
5 - Definitely
55.6%
5
1 - No difference
22.2%
2
2
11.1%
1
3
11.1%
1

q5_4 q5 - You said you'd give yourself a out of 10 for likelihood of voting. I'd like to understand what might make you more certain to vote in the by-election. Please tell me how much each of the following would increase your likelihood of voting, on a

Base: 9
1 - No difference
33.3%
3
5 - Definitely
33.3%
3
2
11.1%
1
3
11.1%
1
4
11.1%
1

q5_5 q5 - You said you'd give yourself a out of 10 for likelihood of voting. I'd like to understand what might make you more certain to vote in the by-election. Please tell me how much each of the following would increase your likelihood of voting, on a

Base: 9
1 - No difference
66.7%
6
3
33.3%
3

agecat_refused If respondents have refused to give exact age, please take from the dialler.

Base: 20
55-64
35.0%
7
45-54
20.0%
4
35-44
15.0%
3
75+
15.0%
3
65-74
10.0%
2
25-34
5.0%
1

sex Please record sex.

Base: 325
Female
53.8%
175
Male
46.2%
150

sex_quota_A_1 sex_quota_A - sex.a=Male

Base: 175
sex.a=Male
100.0%
175

sex_quota_A_2 sex_quota_A - sex.a=Female

Base: 150
sex.a=Female
100.0%
150

education What is your highest level of educational qualifications?

Base: 325
Degree, HNC, HND, RSA Higher Diploma, Professional qualifications (e.g. teaching, nursing, accountancy)
34.5%
112
2+ A Levels, 4+ AS Levels, Level 3 NVQ qualification, ONC, OND
15.1%
49
5+ O Level Passes/CSEs (Grade 1)/GCSEs (Grades A*-C), 1 A Level/2-3 AS Levels/
10.5%
34
[DO NOT PROMPT] Refused
10.5%
34
No Qualifications
9.8%
32
Other (vocational/Work-related Qualifications)
8.3%
27
1-4 O Levels/CSE/GCSEs (any grades), Entry Level / Foundation / Level 1 NVQ qualification
8.0%
26
Apprenticeship / Level 2 NVQ qualification
3.4%
11

emp1 Which of these activities best describes what you are doing at present?

Base: 325
Retired
38.2%
124
Employed full-time (more than 30 hours plus per week)
31.1%
101
Refused
8.3%
27
Employed in part-time job (30 or fewer hours per week)
7.4%
24
Self-employed
6.2%
20
Unpaid family carer / homemaker
3.7%
12
Unable to work due to illness or disability
2.5%
8
Unemployed and actively seeking employment
1.8%
6
Student
0.9%
3