Provisional: live fieldwork, 11 interviews so far. Percentages are of each
question's valid base (missing/not-asked excluded). Right-hand grey figure = count.
Quota fill from response data
Computed directly from the answers, so it stays correct even when a survey's platform quota counter is broken. ⚠ = platform counter disagrees.
ward
Burnage
0/80
Gorton and Abbey Hey
4/91⚠
Levenshulme
3/85⚠
Longsight
0/90
Audenshaw
0/54
Denton North East
0/49
Denton South
0/51
Denton West
0/50
agecat
18-24
3/84
25-34
7/105
35-44
0/106
45-54
0/86
55-64
1/150
65-74
0/150
agecat_large
18-34
10/9999
35-54
0/9999
55+
1/9999
sex_quota
Male
6/281⚠
Female
5/269⚠
ward Can I confirm that you live in the [NAME] ward?[If they don't know, ask for postcode, so the ward can be looked up here]
Base: 11
Ashton-in-Makerfield South
36.4%
4
Bryn with Ashton-in-Makerfield North
27.3%
3
Winstanley
27.3%
3
Orrell
9.1%
1
ltv There is an upcoming by-election in the Makerfield constituency to be held on 18th June. On a scale of 0 - 10, where 0 is would not vote and 10 is certain to vote, how likely would you be to vote in this by-election?
Base: 11
10 - Certain to vote
63.6%
7
8
27.3%
3
6
9.1%
1
evi And if the by-election was held tomorrow, for which party would you vote?
Base: 11
Andy Burnham - Labour [PROMPT]
72.7%
8
Robert Kenyon - Reform UK [PROMPT]
18.2%
2
UNDECIDED [DO NOT PROMPT]
9.1%
1
evi_undecided Whilst you are undecided, is there a candidate/party that you are leaning towards the most?
Base: 1
Andy Burnham - Labour [PROMPT]
100.0%
1
ge24 Thinking back to the last UK General Election, held in July 2024, which party or candidate did you vote for, or did you not vote?
Base: 11
Josh Simons - Labour [PROMPT]
63.6%
7
Did not vote [PROMPT]
27.3%
3
John Skipworth - Liberal Democrats [PROMPT]
9.1%
1
gm24 Thinking back to the 2024 Greater Manchester mayoral election, which party or candidate did you vote for, or did you not vote?
Base: 11
Did not vote [PROMPT]
63.6%
7
Andy Burnham - Labour [PROMPT]
36.4%
4
eu16 Thinking back to the EU referendum in 2016, how did you vote in the referendum, or did you not vote?
Base: 11
Remain
45.5%
5
Did not vote
45.5%
5
Leave
9.1%
1
q1 Thinking about the Makerfield by-election, which of the following best describes what you believe is most at stake?
Base: 11
Getting a good local MP who cares about the area [PROMPT]
45.5%
5
Sending the Labour government a message [PROMPT]
18.2%
2
Stopping Reform from winning the seat [PROMPT]
18.2%
2
Opening the way for Andy Burnham to become Prime Minister [PROMPT]
18.2%
2
q2_1 q2 - Before I ask you about the candidates, I'd like to ask whether you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of the following: Andy Burnham
Base: 11
Strongly favourable
54.5%
6
Somewhat favourable
27.3%
3
Neither favourable nor unfavourable
9.1%
1
Strongly unfavourable
9.1%
1
q2_2 q2 - Before I ask you about the candidates, I'd like to ask whether you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of the following: Robert Kenyon
Base: 11
Strongly unfavourable
54.5%
6
Strongly favourable
18.2%
2
Somewhat unfavourable
18.2%
2
Neither favourable nor unfavourable
9.1%
1
RandomNumberGenerator1 This question is hidden to select ONE random number between 1 and 3The question is automatically hidden - NO need to write sys_range (and pls don't because it will mess it up)If you want to change the number of options:1 - Dele
Base: 11
1
63.6%
7
2
36.4%
4
q3_a_1 q3_a - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so
Base: 7
Agree somewhat
71.4%
5
Agree strongly
28.6%
2
q3_a_2 q3_a - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so
Base: 7
Neither agree nor disagree
42.9%
3
Agree somewhat
28.6%
2
Agree strongly
14.3%
1
Disagree somewhat
14.3%
1
q3_a_3 q3_a - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so
Base: 7
Agree somewhat
85.7%
6
Neither agree nor disagree
14.3%
1
q3_a_4 q3_a - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so
Base: 7
Disagree somewhat
71.4%
5
Agree somewhat
14.3%
1
Neither agree nor disagree
14.3%
1
q3_a_5 q3_a - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so
Base: 7
Agree somewhat
57.1%
4
Agree strongly
42.9%
3
q3_a_6 q3_a - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so
Base: 7
Agree somewhat
57.1%
4
Agree strongly
28.6%
2
Disagree somewhat
14.3%
1
q3_a_7 q3_a - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so
Base: 7
Agree somewhat
85.7%
6
Agree strongly
14.3%
1
q3_b_1 q3_b - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so
Base: 4
Agree somewhat
75.0%
3
Disagree strongly
25.0%
1
q3_b_2 q3_b - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so
Base: 4
Agree somewhat
50.0%
2
Neither agree nor disagree
50.0%
2
q3_b_3 q3_b - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so
Base: 4
Agree somewhat
75.0%
3
Disagree somewhat
25.0%
1
q3_b_4 q3_b - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so
Base: 4
Agree somewhat
50.0%
2
Agree strongly
25.0%
1
Disagree somewhat
25.0%
1
q3_b_5 q3_b - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so
Base: 4
Agree somewhat
50.0%
2
Disagree somewhat
25.0%
1
Disagree strongly
25.0%
1
q3_b_6 q3_b - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so
Base: 4
Disagree strongly
50.0%
2
Neither agree nor disagree
25.0%
1
Disagree somewhat
25.0%
1
q3_b_7 q3_b - I am going to read you some things people have said about Andy Burnham and the Makerfield by-election. Not all of them are positive. For each one, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree so
Base: 4
Agree somewhat
75.0%
3
Disagree somewhat
25.0%
1
q4_1 q4 - I would now like to ask you about the two parties on the right of British politics standing in Makerfield. For each of the following statements, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree somewh
Base: 2
Agree somewhat
100.0%
2
q4_2 q4 - I would now like to ask you about the two parties on the right of British politics standing in Makerfield. For each of the following statements, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree somewh
Base: 2
Agree somewhat
50.0%
1
Neither agree nor disagree
50.0%
1
q4_3 q4 - I would now like to ask you about the two parties on the right of British politics standing in Makerfield. For each of the following statements, please tell me whether you agree strongly, agree somewhat, neither agree nor disagree, disagree somewh
Base: 2
Agree somewhat
100.0%
2
q5_1 q5 - You said you'd give yourself a out of 10 for likelihood of voting. I'd like to understand what might make you more certain to vote in the by-election. Please tell me how much each of the following would increase your likelihood of voting, on a
Base: 1
5 - Definitely
100.0%
1
q5_2 q5 - You said you'd give yourself a out of 10 for likelihood of voting. I'd like to understand what might make you more certain to vote in the by-election. Please tell me how much each of the following would increase your likelihood of voting, on a
Base: 1
4
100.0%
1
q5_3 q5 - You said you'd give yourself a out of 10 for likelihood of voting. I'd like to understand what might make you more certain to vote in the by-election. Please tell me how much each of the following would increase your likelihood of voting, on a
Base: 1
5 - Definitely
100.0%
1
q5_4 q5 - You said you'd give yourself a out of 10 for likelihood of voting. I'd like to understand what might make you more certain to vote in the by-election. Please tell me how much each of the following would increase your likelihood of voting, on a
Base: 1
1 - No difference
100.0%
1
q5_5 q5 - You said you'd give yourself a out of 10 for likelihood of voting. I'd like to understand what might make you more certain to vote in the by-election. Please tell me how much each of the following would increase your likelihood of voting, on a
Base: 1
1 - No difference
100.0%
1
sex Please record sex.
Base: 11
Female
54.5%
6
Male
45.5%
5
sex_quota_A_1 sex_quota_A - sex.a=Male
Base: 6
sex.a=Male
100.0%
6
sex_quota_A_2 sex_quota_A - sex.a=Female
Base: 5
sex.a=Female
100.0%
5
education What is your highest level of educational qualifications?