survation. ← Fieldwork

Topline — 2026-05-15-MAKOMNI

506 respondents · Unweighted · 32 questions · generated 2026-09-21 13:47 UTC
Provisional: live fieldwork, 506 interviews so far. Percentages are of each question's valid base (missing/not-asked excluded). Right-hand grey figure = count.

Quota fill from response data

Computed directly from the answers, so it stays correct even when a survey's platform quota counter is broken. ⚠ = platform counter disagrees.
ward
Burnage
55/80 ⚠
Gorton and Abbey Hey
70/91 ⚠
Levenshulme
57/85 ⚠
Longsight
0/90
Audenshaw
66/54 ⚠
Denton North East
53/49 ⚠
Denton South
7/51 ⚠
Denton West
13/50 ⚠
agecat
18-24
22/84
25-34
27/105
35-44
55/106
45-54
95/86 ⚠
55-64
122/150
65-74
185/150 ⚠
agecat_large
18-34
49/9999
35-54
150/9999
55+
307/9999
sex_quota
Male
264/281 ⚠
Female
242/269 ⚠

ward Can I confirm that you live in the [NAME] ward?[If they don't know, ask for postcode, so the ward can be looked up here]

Base: 506
Ashton-in-Makerfield South
13.8%
70
Orrell
13.4%
68
Hindley
13.0%
66
Winstanley
13.0%
66
Bryn with Ashton-in-Makerfield North
11.3%
57
Abram
10.9%
55
Hindley Green
10.5%
53
Worsley Mesnes
10.1%
51
Leigh West
2.6%
13
Ince
1.4%
7

ltv There is an upcoming by-election in the Makerfield constituency to be held on 18th June. On a scale of 0 - 10, where 0 is would not vote and 10 is certain to vote, how likely would you be to vote in this by-election?

Base: 506
10 - Certain to vote
79.6%
403
0 - Would not vote
7.1%
36
5
3.8%
19
8
3.2%
16
9
2.4%
12
6
1.6%
8
3
0.8%
4
7
0.8%
4
4
0.4%
2
1
0.2%
1
2
0.2%
1

evi And if the by-election was held tomorrow, for which party would you vote?

Base: 469
Andy Burnham - Labour [PROMPT]
45.2%
212
Robert Kenyon - Reform UK [PROMPT]
27.1%
127
UNDECIDED [DO NOT PROMPT]
11.1%
52
REFUSED [DO NOT PROMPT]
8.7%
41
Rebecca Shepherd - Restore Britain [PROMPT]
5.8%
27
Sarah Wakefield - Green Party [PROMPT]
0.9%
4
Michael Winstanley - Conservative [PROMPT]
0.6%
3
Jake Austin - Liberal Democrat [PROMPT]
0.4%
2
Another party [PROMPT - AND FOLLOW UP, WHICH PARTY?]
0.2%
1

evi_undecided Whilst you are undecided, is there a candidate/party that you are leaning towards the most?

Base: 52
UNDECIDED [DO NOT PROMPT]
50.0%
26
REFUSED [DO NOT PROMPT]
17.3%
9
Andy Burnham - Labour [PROMPT]
15.4%
8
Rebecca Shepherd - Restore Britain [PROMPT]
5.8%
3
Sarah Wakefield - Green Party [PROMPT]
3.8%
2
Robert Kenyon - Reform UK [PROMPT]
3.8%
2
Another party [PROMPT - AND FOLLOW UP, WHICH PARTY?]
3.8%
2

eu_ltv If a referendum on the United Kingdom’s membership of the European Union were held tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote? Please use a scale from 0 to 10, where 0 means you would definitely not vote and 10 means you would definitely vote

Base: 505
10 - Definitely would vote
71.5%
361
0 - Definitely would not vote
8.3%
42
5
5.5%
28
8
5.0%
25
6
2.8%
14
7
2.8%
14
9
1.6%
8
4
1.0%
5
1
0.6%
3
2
0.6%
3
3
0.4%
2

eu_vi_P If there were a referendum tomorrow on the UK’s membership in the European Union, how do you think you would vote?

Base: 464
Rejoin the EU
48.1%
223
Stay out of the EU
37.1%
172
Don’t know [DO NOT PROMPT]
11.2%
52
Refused [DO NOT PROMPT]
3.0%
14
Would not vote [DO NOT PROMPT]
0.6%
3

eu16 Thinking back to the EU referendum in 2016, how did you vote in the referendum, or did you not vote?

Base: 506
Leave
43.3%
219
Remain
32.0%
162
Did not vote
14.8%
75
Refused [DO NOT PROMPT]
5.7%
29
Can’t remember [DO NOT PROMPT]
4.2%
21

ge24 Thinking back to the last UK General Election, held in July 2024, which party or candidate did you vote for, or did you not vote?

Base: 506
Josh Simons - Labour [PROMPT]
39.9%
202
Did not vote [PROMPT]
18.0%
91
Robert Kenyon - Reform [PROMPT]
14.8%
75
Refused [DO NOT PROMPT]
7.9%
40
Simon Finkelstein - Conservative [PROMPT]
7.5%
38
Can't remember [DO NOT PROMPT]
5.5%
28
John Skipworth - Liberal Democrats [PROMPT]
3.2%
16
Maria Deery - Green Party [PROMPT]
3.0%
15
Thomas Bryer - English Democrat [PROMPT]
0.2%
1

gm24 Thinking back to the 2024 Greater Manchester mayoral election, which party or candidate did you vote for, or did you not vote?

Base: 506
Did not vote [PROMPT]
37.2%
188
Andy Burnham - Labour [PROMPT]
36.4%
184
Can't remember [DO NOT PROMPT]
9.3%
47
Refused [DO NOT PROMPT]
7.1%
36
Dan Barker - Reform UK [PROMPT]
5.9%
30
Laura Evans - Conservative [PROMPT]
2.4%
12
Nick Buckley - Independent [PROMPT]
1.2%
6
Hannah Spencer - Green [PROMPT]
0.6%
3

evi_2_horse_P Imagine that the only two candidates who could realistically win the upcoming by-election in Makerfield were Andy Burnham, Labour party, and Robert Kenyon, Reform UK, although other parties were on the ballot. How would you vote or woul

Base: 506
Andy Burnham, Labour and Co-operative party
51.0%
258
Robert Kenyon, Reform UK
31.6%
160
I would not vote [DO NOT PROMPT]
8.3%
42
Don't know [DO NOT PROMPT]
7.3%
37
Another party
1.8%
9

willing_P_1 willing_P - On a scale of 1-10, where 1 is not at all willing and 10 is extremely willing, how willing are you to vote for each of the below candidates in the upcoming by-election in Makerfield? Andy Burnham, Labour and Co-operative party

Base: 506
10 - Extremely willing
40.3%
204
1 - Not at all
32.6%
165
Don't know
6.5%
33
5
4.7%
24
7
4.0%
20
9
3.6%
18
6
2.8%
14
8
2.8%
14
2
1.4%
7
3
1.0%
5
4
0.4%
2

willing_P_2 willing_P - On a scale of 1-10, where 1 is not at all willing and 10 is extremely willing, how willing are you to vote for each of the below candidates in the upcoming by-election in Makerfield? Robert Kenyon, Reform UK

Base: 506
1 - Not at all
47.6%
241
10 - Extremely willing
25.1%
127
Don't know
9.5%
48
5
4.7%
24
8
3.4%
17
2
3.2%
16
6
2.0%
10
3
1.4%
7
7
1.2%
6
9
1.2%
6
4
0.8%
4

tech_P Do you think the UK government currently regulates large technology companies too much, too little, or just about the right amount?

Base: 506
Too little
42.7%
216
Don't know
28.3%
143
Too much
15.8%
80
About the right amount
13.2%
67

prefer_m Of the following people, who would you prefer as Prime Minister?

Base: 506
Nigel Farage [PROMPT]
26.7%
135
Keir Starmer [PROMPT]
22.9%
116
Don't know [DO NOT PROMPT]
18.6%
94
Refused [DO NOT PROMPT]
14.6%
74
Kemi Badenoch [PROMPT]
10.1%
51
Zack Polanski [PROMPT]
4.7%
24
Ed Davey [PROMPT]
2.4%
12

prefer_m2 Of the following people, who would you prefer as Prime Minister?

Base: 506
Andy Burnham [PROMPT]
46.6%
236
Nigel Farage [PROMPT]
24.9%
126
Don't know [DO NOT PROMPT]
8.9%
45
Refused [DO NOT PROMPT]
8.5%
43
Kemi Badenoch [PROMPT]
7.3%
37
Zack Polanski [PROMPT]
2.2%
11
Ed Davey [PROMPT]
1.6%
8

friends_m Of your ten closest friends or family members who are eligible to vote and live in the Makerfield constituency, how many do you expect to vote in the Makerfield by-election?

Base: 506
10
35.0%
177
2
8.7%
44
8
8.3%
42
[DO NOT PROMPT] If they say they have less than 10 friends/family (please write the number of how many close friends and
8.3%
42
0
7.9%
40
1
6.7%
34
5
5.7%
29
3
4.7%
24
7
4.3%
22
6
4.2%
21
4
4.0%
20
9
2.2%
11

water_38 Which of the following is closest to your view?

Base: 506
Water companies should be returned to public ownership
74.9%
379
Don’t know
13.8%
70
Water companies should remain in private ownership
11.3%
57

tax_38 Which of the following is closest to your view?

Base: 506
A new tax on assets over £10 million should be introduced to fund the NHS, schools and other public services
55.1%
279
Introducing new taxes on wealth would be harmful and is not the right way to fund public services
27.3%
138
Don’t know
17.6%
89

donate_38 Which of the following is closest to your view?

Base: 506
There should be a cap on the maximum amount an individual can donate to a political party or politician
53.2%
269
Individuals should be free to donate as much as they choose to political parties or politicians
35.6%
180
Don’t know
11.3%
57

NHS_38 Which of the following is closest to your view?

Base: 506
I am concerned that I will not be able to access affordable dental care on the NHS
63.8%
323
I am not concerned about my ability to access affordable dental care on the NHS
31.4%
159
Don’t know
4.7%
24

policy_hhh8_1 policy_hhh8 - I'm going to read you a list of measures from the Employment Rights Act, which was recently passed by Parliament. For each one, can you tell me whether you would keep it in, get rid of it, or if you don't know? Giving families the righ

Base: 506
Keep that in
63.4%
321
Don't know
24.9%
126
Get rid of it
11.7%
59

policy_hhh8_2 policy_hhh8 - I'm going to read you a list of measures from the Employment Rights Act, which was recently passed by Parliament. For each one, can you tell me whether you would keep it in, get rid of it, or if you don't know? Banning employers from s

Base: 506
Keep that in
44.9%
227
Get rid of it
44.7%
226
Don't know
10.5%
53

policy_hhh8_3 policy_hhh8 - I'm going to read you a list of measures from the Employment Rights Act, which was recently passed by Parliament. For each one, can you tell me whether you would keep it in, get rid of it, or if you don't know? Setting the minimum wage

Base: 506
Keep that in
72.7%
368
Don't know
16.2%
82
Get rid of it
11.1%
56

policy_hhh8_4 policy_hhh8 - I'm going to read you a list of measures from the Employment Rights Act, which was recently passed by Parliament. For each one, can you tell me whether you would keep it in, get rid of it, or if you don't know? Guaranteeing that all wo

Base: 506
Keep that in
55.7%
282
Get rid of it
26.3%
133
Don't know
18.0%
91

content_hhh8 Which of the following is closest to your view?

Base: 506
I am less likely to vote for a politician who has posted offensive content on their social media accounts
56.5%
286
Whether a politician has posted offensive content on their social media accounts is not a factor in deciding who to vote
28.3%
143
Don’t know
15.2%
77

gpq1_gp Shale gas is natural gas extracted from underground rocks using hydraulic fracturing, or 'fracking'. There have been efforts to extract gas from this region, but these stopped after the government imposed a ban.Would you SUPPORT or OPPOSE the

Base: 506
Strongly support
28.1%
142
Strongly oppose
27.1%
137
Don’t know
18.2%
92
Somewhat support
11.9%
60
Somewhat oppose
9.9%
50
Neither support nor oppose
4.9%
25

agecat_refused If respondents have refused to give exact age, please take from the dialler.

Base: 39
55-64
23.1%
9
65-74
23.1%
9
45-54
17.9%
7
25-34
10.3%
4
75+
10.3%
4
18-24
7.7%
3
35-44
7.7%
3

sex Please record sex.

Base: 506
Female
52.2%
264
Male
47.8%
242

sex_quota_A_1 sex_quota_A - sex.a=Male

Base: 264
sex.a=Male
100.0%
264

sex_quota_A_2 sex_quota_A - sex.a=Female

Base: 242
sex.a=Female
100.0%
242

education What is your highest level of educational qualifications?

Base: 506
Degree, HNC, HND, RSA Higher Diploma, Professional qualifications (e.g. teaching, nursing, accountancy)
35.0%
177
2+ A Levels, 4+ AS Levels, Level 3 NVQ qualification, ONC, OND
18.4%
93
[DO NOT PROMPT] Refused
10.3%
52
5+ O Level Passes/CSEs (Grade 1)/GCSEs (Grades A*-C), 1 A Level/2-3 AS Levels/
9.9%
50
1-4 O Levels/CSE/GCSEs (any grades), Entry Level / Foundation / Level 1 NVQ qualification
8.3%
42
No Qualifications
8.3%
42
Other (vocational/Work-related Qualifications)
6.3%
32
Apprenticeship / Level 2 NVQ qualification
3.6%
18

emp1 Which of these activities best describes what you are doing at present?

Base: 506
Retired
36.8%
186
Employed full-time (more than 30 hours plus per week)
33.0%
167
Employed in part-time job (30 or fewer hours per week)
7.7%
39
Refused
7.7%
39
Self-employed
6.5%
33
Unable to work due to illness or disability
4.5%
23
Unpaid family carer / homemaker
2.2%
11
Student
1.0%
5
Unemployed and actively seeking employment
0.6%
3