Topline — 20260131GD CATI CALL BACK

93 respondents · Unweighted · 26 questions · generated 2026-09-21 13:05 UTC

Provisional: live fieldwork, 93 interviews so far. Percentages are of each question's valid base (missing/not-asked excluded). Right-hand grey figure = count.

Quota fill from response data

Computed directly from the answers, so it stays correct even when a survey's platform quota counter is broken. ⚠ = platform counter disagrees.

ward

Burnage

28/80 ⚠

Gorton and Abbey Hey

2/91 ⚠

Levenshulme

5/85 ⚠

Longsight

12/90 ⚠

Audenshaw

0/54

Denton North East

25/49 ⚠

Denton South

18/51 ⚠

Denton West

3/50 ⚠

ethnicity_quota

White

72/9999 ⚠

Mixed/multiple ethnic groups

1/9999 ⚠

Asian

17/9999 ⚠

Black/African/Caribbean

2/9999 ⚠

[DO NOT PROMPT] Refused

1/9999 ⚠

ethnicity_white_quota

English, Welsh, Scottish, Northern Irish or British

70/9999 ⚠

Irish

2/9999 ⚠

Gypsy or Irish Traveller

0/9999

Roma

0/9999

Other White background

0/9999

[DO NOT PROMPT] Refused

0/9999

agecat

18-24

0/84

25-34

10/105

35-44

13/106

45-54

27/86

55-64

15/77

65-74

28/92

agecat_large

18-34

10/9999

35-54

40/9999

55+

43/9999

sex_quota

Male

39/281

Female

54/269

ward Can I confirm that you live in the [NAME] ward?If they don't know, ask for postcode, so the ward can be looked up here:

Base: 93

Burnage

30.1%

Denton North East

26.9%

Denton South

19.4%

Longsight

12.9%

Levenshulme

5.4%

Denton West

3.2%

Gorton and Abbey Hey

2.2%

m24 Thinking back to the 2024 Greater Manchester mayoral election, which party or candidate did you vote for, or did you not vote?

Base: 93

Labour - Andy Burnham

37.6%

Did not vote

33.3%

Can't remember

10.8%

Refused

6.5%

Conservative - Laura Evans

4.3%

Reform UK - Dan Barker

4.3%

Independent - Nick Buckley

1.1%

Green - Hannah Spencer

1.1%

Liberal Democrats - Jake Austin

1.1%

ltv In the upcoming by-election on February 26th, on a scale of 0 - 10, where 0 is would not vote and 10 is certain to vote, how likely would you be to vote in this election?

Base: 93

10 - Certain to vote

67.7%

0 - Would not vote

10.8%

8.6%

5.4%

3.2%

1.1%

evi And if the by-election was held today, for which candidate would you vote?

Base: 83

Reform UK - Matt Goodwin [PROMPT]

31.3%

UNDECIDED [DO NOT PROMPT]

27.7%

Labour - Angeliki Stogia [PROMPT]

16.9%

Green Party - Hannah Spencer [PROMPT]

15.7%

REFUSED [DO NOT PROMPT]

4.8%

Conservative - Charlotte Cadden [PROMPT]

2.4%

Liberal Democrats - Jackie Pearcey [PROMPT]

1.2%

evi_undecided Whilst you are undecided, is there a candidate/party that you are leaning towards the most?

Base: 23

UNDECIDED [DO NOT PROMPT]

65.2%

REFUSED [DO NOT PROMPT]

17.4%

Green Party - Hannah Spencer [PROMPT]

13.0%

Reform UK - Matt Goodwin [PROMPT]

4.3%

evi_second_choice And if you had to pick a party or candidate that would be your second choice, which party or candidate would you choose?

Base: 83

UNDECIDED [DO NOT PROMPT]

43.4%

REFUSED [DO NOT PROMPT]

21.7%

Labour - Angeliki Stogia [PROMPT]

10.8%

Green Party - Hannah Spencer [PROMPT]

9.6%

Liberal Democrats - Jackie Pearcey [PROMPT]

4.8%

Advance UK - Nick Buckley [PROMPT]

3.6%

Conservative - Charlotte Cadden [PROMPT]

2.4%

Reform UK - Matt Goodwin [PROMPT]

2.4%

Another party [PROMPT - AND FOLLOW UP, WHICH PARTY?]

1.2%

most_likely Regardless of the result you would like to see, who do you expect is most likely to win the by-election?

Base: 83

Reform UK - Matt Goodwin [PROMPT]

39.8%

Don't know [DO NOT PROMPT]

30.1%

Labour - Angeliki Stogia [PROMPT]

21.7%

Green Party - Hannah Spencer [PROMPT]

4.8%

Conservative - Charlotte Cadden [PROMPT]

3.6%

most_worry Regardless of the result you would think is most likely, which result would worry you the most?

Base: 83

Don't know [DO NOT PROMPT]

32.5%

Reform UK - Matt Goodwin [PROMPT]

30.1%

Labour - Angeliki Stogia [PROMPT]

27.7%

Green Party - Hannah Spencer [PROMPT]

7.2%

Conservative - Charlotte Cadden [PROMPT]

2.4%

ethnicity How would you describe your ethnic origin?

Base: 93

White

77.4%

Asian

18.3%

Black/African/Caribbean

2.2%

Mixed/multiple ethnic groups

1.1%

[DO NOT PROMPT] Refused

1.1%

ethnicity_quota_A_1 ethnicity_quota_A - ethnicity.a=White

Base: 72

ethnicity.a=White

100.0%

ethnicity_quota_A_2 ethnicity_quota_A - ethnicity.a=Mixed/multiple ethnic groups

Base: 1

ethnicity.a=Mixed/multiple ethnic groups

100.0%

ethnicity_quota_A_3 ethnicity_quota_A - ethnicity.a=Asian

Base: 17

ethnicity.a=Asian

100.0%

ethnicity_quota_A_4 ethnicity_quota_A - ethnicity.a=Black/African/Caribbean

Base: 2

ethnicity.a=Black/African/Caribbean

100.0%

ethnicity_quota_A_6 ethnicity_quota_A - ethnicity.a=[DO NOT PROMPT] Refused

Base: 1

ethnicity.a=[DO NOT PROMPT] Refused

100.0%

ethnicity_white Which of the following best describes your White ethnic background?

Base: 72

English, Welsh, Scottish, Northern Irish or British

97.2%

Irish

2.8%

ethnicity_white_quota_A_1 ethnicity_white_quota_A - ethnicity_white.a=English, Welsh, Scottish, Northern Irish or British

Base: 70

ethnicity_white.a=English, Welsh, Scottish, Northern Irish or British

100.0%

ethnicity_white_quota_A_2 ethnicity_white_quota_A - ethnicity_white.a=Irish

Base: 2

ethnicity_white.a=Irish

100.0%

ge24_gortonanddenton INPUT FROM DATA SHEET Thinking back to the last UK General Election, held in July 2024, which party or candidate did you vote for, or did you not vote?

Base: 93

Labour - Andrew Gwynne

37.6%

Did not vote

24.7%

Can't remember

10.8%

Conservative - Ruth Welsh

9.7%

Refused

8.6%

Green - Amanda Gardner

5.4%

Reform - Lee Moffitt

2.2%

Workers Party - Amir Burney

1.1%

agecat_refused If respondents have refused to give exact age, please take from the dialler.

Base: 20

45-54

35.0%

35-44

25.0%

25-34

15.0%

55-64

15.0%

65-74

5.0%

75+

5.0%

sex Please record sex. INPUT FROM DATA SHEET

Base: 93

Male

58.1%

Female

41.9%

sex_quota_A_1 sex_quota_A - sex.a=Male

Base: 39

sex.a=Male

100.0%

sex_quota_A_2 sex_quota_A - sex.a=Female

Base: 54

sex.a=Female

100.0%

sex_quota_B_1 sex_quota_B - sex.a=Male

Base: 39

sex.a=Male

100.0%

sex_quota_B_2 sex_quota_B - sex.a=Female

Base: 54

sex.a=Female

100.0%

education INPUT FROM DATA SHEET What is your highest level of educational qualifications?

Base: 93

[DO NOT PROMPT] Refused

61.3%

No Qualifications

9.7%

1-4 O Levels/CSE/GCSEs (any grades), Entry Level / Foundation / Level 1 NVQ qualification

8.6%

Degree, HNC, HND, RSA Higher Diploma, Professional qualifications (e.g. teaching, nursing, accountancy)

8.6%

2+ A Levels, 4+ AS Levels, Level 3 NVQ qualification, ONC, OND

7.5%

Other (vocational/Work-related Qualifications)

2.2%

5+ O Level Passes/CSEs (Grade 1)/GCSEs (Grades A*-C), 1 A Level/2-3 AS Levels/

1.1%

Apprenticeship / Level 2 NVQ qualification

1.1%

emp1 INPUT FROM DATA SHEET Which of these activities best describes what you are doing at present?

Base: 93

Employed full-time (more than 30 hours plus per week)

35.5%

Retired

24.7%

Refused

20.4%

Self-employed

6.5%

Unable to work due to illness or disability

5.4%

Unpaid family carer / homemaker

4.3%

Employed in part-time job (30 or fewer hours per week)

3.2%