survation. ← Fieldwork

Topline — Greater Manchester Mayor Election CATI

466 respondents · Unweighted · 28 questions · generated 2026-09-21 13:45 UTC
Provisional: live fieldwork, 466 interviews so far. Percentages are of each question's valid base (missing/not-asked excluded). Right-hand grey figure = count.

Quota fill from response data

Computed directly from the answers, so it stays correct even when a survey's platform quota counter is broken. ⚠ = platform counter disagrees.
agecat
18-24
26/1000
25-34
60/1000
35-44
52/1000
45-54
65/1000
55-64
113/1000
65-74
150/1000
agecat_large
18-34
86/9999
35-54
117/9999
55+
263/9999
sex_quota
Male
253/281
Female
213/269

borough *Please code respondents Borough*

Base: 466
Manchester
20.0%
93
Wigan
15.2%
71
Stockport
12.4%
58
Bolton
9.0%
42
Tameside
7.9%
37
Trafford
7.7%
36
Salford
7.3%
34
Oldham
7.1%
33
Bury
6.9%
32
Rochdale
6.4%
30

mayor_ltv There will be a Greater Manchester Mayoral Election soon. On a scale of 0 - 10, where 0 is would not vote and 10 is certain to vote, how likely would you be to vote in this election?

Base: 466
10 - certain to vote
49.6%
231
0 - would not vote
19.3%
90
8
7.3%
34
5
4.5%
21
[DO NOT PROMPT] Don't know
4.3%
20
7
4.1%
19
9
3.2%
15
6
2.1%
10
2
1.9%
9
1
1.5%
7
4
1.3%
6
3
0.9%
4

mayor_vi And if the Greater Manchester Mayoral election were held tomorrow, for which of the following candidates would you vote? [PROMPT ALL CANDIDATES]

Base: 356
[DO NOT PROMPT] Don’t know
29.5%
105
Bev Craig, Labour
27.2%
97
Sian Astley, Reform UK
17.1%
61
Geraldine Coggins, Greens
8.1%
29
Phil Eckersley, Conservative
7.0%
25
Marlon West, Restore Britain
3.4%
12
Richard Kilpatrick, Liberal Democrat
2.5%
9
[DO NOT PROMPT]Would not vote
2.2%
8
George Galloway, Workers Party of Britain
1.4%
5
Other (please specify)
1.4%
5

ltv_ge If there were a General Election tomorrow, on a scale of 0–10, where 0 is ‘would not vote’ and 10 is ‘certain to vote”, how likely would you be to vote?

Base: 466
10 - certain to vote
65.0%
303
0 - would not vote
13.7%
64
9
4.3%
20
5
4.1%
19
8
4.1%
19
[DO NOT PROMPT] Don't know
2.6%
12
7
1.9%
9
2
1.3%
6
1
0.9%
4
3
0.9%
4
4
0.6%
3
6
0.6%
3

gevi_1 If there were a general election held tomorrow, which party would you vote for?

Base: 390
Labour
26.2%
102
[DO NOT PROMPT] Don’t know / Undecided
24.1%
94
Reform UK
20.0%
78
Conservative
11.8%
46
Green
7.4%
29
Liberal Democrats
5.1%
20
Some other party (please specify):
3.6%
14
[DO NOT PROMPT] Would not vote
1.8%
7

mayor_2024 In the 2024 Greater Manchester Mayoral election, for which of the following candidates or parties did you vote, or did you not vote?

Base: 466
Andy Burnham, Labour
39.5%
184
[DO NOT PROMPT] I did not vote
38.6%
180
[DO NOT PROMPT] Don’t remember
8.8%
41
[DO NOT PROMPT] Prefer not to say
4.1%
19
Dan Barker, Reform UK
3.4%
16
Laura Evans, Conservative
2.4%
11
Hannah Spencer, Green Party
1.5%
7
Nick Buckley, Independent
0.9%
4
Jake Austin, Liberal Democrat
0.4%
2
Another candidate (please specify):
0.4%
2

local_elections26 In the 2026 local elections, for which of the following parties did you vote for, or did you not vote?

Base: 466
[DO NOT PROMPT] I did not vote
30.0%
140
Labour
22.5%
105
Reform UK
16.1%
75
Conservatives
7.5%
35
Green Party
6.4%
30
[DO NOT PROMPT] Prefer not to say
6.0%
28
Liberal Democrats
5.4%
25
[DO NOT PROMPT] Don’t remember
3.9%
18
Another candidate (please specify):
1.9%
9
Restore Britain
0.2%
1

ge24_1 Thinking back to the 2024 United Kingdom General Election, which party did you vote for, or did you not vote?

Base: 466
Labour
30.7%
143
[DO NOT PROMPT] Did not vote
26.6%
124
Conservative
13.5%
63
[DO NOT PROMPT] Don’t remember
8.8%
41
Reform UK
7.7%
36
[DO NOT PROMPT] Prefer not to say
5.2%
24
Liberal Democrats
4.3%
20
Green
2.1%
10
Another party (please specify):
1.1%
5

eu16_cati Thinking back to the EU referendum in 2016, how did you vote in that referendum, or did you not vote?

Base: 466
Remain
35.2%
164
Leave
29.8%
139
Did not vote
23.6%
110
[DO NOT PROMPT] Can't remember
8.6%
40
[DO NOT PROMPT] Refused
2.8%
13

favourability_1 favourability - Generally speaking, do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of each of the following? Bev Craig, Labour

Base: 466
Don’t know them/Never heard of
35.2%
164
Don’t know
13.7%
64
Very unfavourable
12.0%
56
Neither unfavourable nor favourable
10.7%
50
Somewhat favourable
10.7%
50
Somewhat unfavourable
9.2%
43
Very favourable
8.4%
39

favourability_2 favourability - Generally speaking, do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of each of the following? Geraldine Coggins, Greens

Base: 466
Don’t know them/Never heard of
39.1%
182
Very unfavourable
15.9%
74
Don’t know
12.7%
59
Neither unfavourable nor favourable
9.7%
45
Somewhat favourable
8.8%
41
Somewhat unfavourable
8.6%
40
Very favourable
5.4%
25

favourability_3 favourability - Generally speaking, do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of each of the following? Marlon West, Restore Britain

Base: 466
Don’t know them/Never heard of
38.2%
178
Very unfavourable
19.7%
92
Don’t know
14.8%
69
Somewhat unfavourable
7.5%
35
Neither unfavourable nor favourable
7.5%
35
Somewhat favourable
7.3%
34
Very favourable
4.9%
23

favourability_4 favourability - Generally speaking, do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of each of the following? George Galloway, Workers Party of Britain

Base: 466
Very unfavourable
31.1%
145
Don’t know them/Never heard of
23.4%
109
Don’t know
13.9%
65
Somewhat unfavourable
10.9%
51
Neither unfavourable nor favourable
10.3%
48
Very favourable
5.4%
25
Somewhat favourable
4.9%
23

favourability_5 favourability - Generally speaking, do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of each of the following? Richard Kilpatrick, Liberal Democrat

Base: 432
Don’t know them/Never heard of
37.0%
160
Don’t know
13.9%
60
Neither unfavourable nor favourable
13.7%
59
Very unfavourable
11.3%
49
Somewhat favourable
11.1%
48
Somewhat unfavourable
10.6%
46
Very favourable
2.3%
10

favourability_6 favourability - Generally speaking, do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of each of the following? Phil Eckersley, Conservative

Base: 171
Don’t know them/Never heard of
32.2%
55
Very unfavourable
22.2%
38
Neither unfavourable nor favourable
12.9%
22
Don’t know
12.9%
22
Somewhat unfavourable
8.8%
15
Somewhat favourable
6.4%
11
Very favourable
4.7%
8

favourability_7 favourability - Generally speaking, do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of each of the following? Sian Astley, Reform UK

Base: 171
Don’t know them/Never heard of
29.8%
51
Very unfavourable
23.4%
40
Don’t know
12.9%
22
Very favourable
9.9%
17
Neither unfavourable nor favourable
8.2%
14
Somewhat favourable
8.2%
14
Somewhat unfavourable
7.6%
13

burnham_mayor Do you approve or disapprove of the job done by Andy Burnham as Mayor of Greater Manchester?

Base: 466
Strongly approve
34.1%
159
Somewhat approve
25.5%
119
Don’t know
20.2%
94
Strongly disapprove
11.4%
53
Somewhat disapprove
8.8%
41

devolution Would you agree or disagree that the Greater Manchester Mayoral devolution deal has been a success?

Base: 466
Don’t know
39.1%
182
Somewhat agree
23.4%
109
Strongly agree
22.5%
105
Strongly disagree
8.2%
38
Somewhat disagree
6.9%
32

family_friends Of your ten closest friends or family members who are eligible to vote and live in the Greater Manchester area, how many do you expect to vote in the Mayoral election?

Base: 466
10
25.1%
117
Don’t know
23.8%
111
8
8.2%
38
5
7.7%
36
0
6.4%
30
7
5.8%
27
4
4.9%
23
2
4.5%
21
6
3.9%
18
3
3.6%
17
9
3.2%
15
1
2.8%
13

agecat_refused If respondents have refused to give exact age, please take from the dialler.

Base: 26
35-44
23.1%
6
65-74
19.2%
5
25-34
15.4%
4
45-54
15.4%
4
55-64
15.4%
4
18-24
7.7%
2
75+
3.8%
1

sex [RECORD SEX]

Base: 466
Female
54.3%
253
Male
45.7%
213

sex_quota_A_1 sex_quota_A - sex.a=Male

Base: 253
sex.a=Male
100.0%
253

sex_quota_A_2 sex_quota_A - sex.a=Female

Base: 213
sex.a=Female
100.0%
213

sex_quota_B_1 sex_quota_B - sex.a=Male

Base: 253
sex.a=Male
100.0%
253

sex_quota_B_2 sex_quota_B - sex.a=Female

Base: 213
sex.a=Female
100.0%
213

education What is your highest level of educational qualifications?

Base: 466
Degree, HNC, HND, RSA Higher Diploma, Professional qualifications (e.g. teaching, nursing, accountancy)
38.0%
177
2+ A Levels, 4+ AS Levels, Level 3 NVQ qualification, ONC, OND
18.5%
86
1-4 O Levels/CSE/GCSEs (any grades), Entry Level / Foundation / Level 1 NVQ qualification
9.2%
43
5+ O Level Passes/CSEs (Grade 1)/GCSEs (Grades A*-C), 1 A Level/2-3 AS Levels/
7.9%
37
[DO NOT PROMPT] Refused
7.7%
36
No Qualifications
7.5%
35
Other (vocational/Work-related Qualifications)
6.0%
28
Apprenticeship / Level 2 NVQ qualification
5.2%
24

emp1 Which of these activities best describes what you are doing at present?

Base: 466
Retired
31.8%
148
Employed full-time (more than 30 hours plus per week)
30.3%
141
Self-employed
11.4%
53
Employed in part-time job (30 or fewer hours per week)
7.5%
35
Refused
6.9%
32
Unable to work due to illness or disability
4.7%
22
Unemployed and actively seeking employment
3.4%
16
Unpaid family carer / homemaker
2.4%
11
Student
1.3%
6
On a government supported training programme (eg, Apprenticeship)
0.4%
2

ethnicity How would you describe your ethnic origin?

Base: 466
White
77.3%
360
[DO NOT PROMPT] Refused
6.9%
32
Asian
6.7%
31
Black/African/Caribbean
4.7%
22
Mixed/multiple ethnic groups
3.6%
17
Other ethnic group (please specify):
0.9%
4