Topline — 20260319CROYDON V2

604 respondents · Unweighted · 21 questions · generated 2026-09-21 10:39 UTC

Provisional: live fieldwork, 604 interviews so far. Percentages are of each question's valid base (missing/not-asked excluded). Right-hand grey figure = count.

Quota fill from response data

Computed directly from the answers, so it stays correct even when a survey's platform quota counter is broken. ⚠ = platform counter disagrees.

agecat

18-24

22/1000

25-34

50/1000

35-44

114/1000

45-54

116/1000

55-64

102/1000

65-74

200/1000

agecat_large

18-34

72/9999

35-54

230/9999

55+

302/9999

sex_quota

Male

309/281 ⚠

Female

295/269 ⚠

ward Can I confirm you live in [WARD] in the London Borough of Croydon?-> End interview if they don't live in Croydon.

Base: 604

West Thornton

7.1%

Thornton Heath

7.0%

Norbury Park

5.8%

Bensham Manor

4.6%

Waddon

4.5%

South Croydon

4.1%

Broad Green

4.0%

Norbury and Pollards Hill

4.0%

Purley and Woodcote

3.8%

New Addington South

3.6%

Addiscombe East

3.5%

Addiscombe West

3.5%

Crystal Palace and Upper Norwood

3.5%

Selsdon Vale and Forestdale

3.5%

Shirley North

3.5%

Shirley South

3.5%

Coulsdon Town

3.0%

Fairfield

3.0%

New Addington North

3.0%

Old Coulsdon

3.0%

South Norwood

3.0%

Kenley

2.8%

Selsdon and Addington Village

2.8%

Sanderstead

2.5%

Woodside

2.5%

Selhurst

2.3%

Purley Oaks and Riddlesdown

1.8%

Park Hill and Whitgift

1.0%

ltv_ge If there were a General Election tomorrow, on a scale of 0–10, where 0 is ‘would not vote’ and 10 is ‘certain to vote”, how likely would you be to vote?

Base: 604

10 - certain to vote

56.0%

338

0 - would not vote

8.4%

7.5%

6.1%

5.3%

5.0%

[DON'T PROMPT] Don't know

4.6%

2.6%

1.5%

1.3%

0.2%

gevi_1 If there were a general election held tomorrow, which party would you vote for?

Base: 525

[Don't prompt] Don’t know / Undecided

39.2%

206

Labour

16.8%

Green

12.0%

Conservative

11.0%

Reform UK

9.7%

Liberal Democrats

5.7%

[Don't prompt] Would not vote

2.9%

Some other party (please specify):

2.7%

ge24_1 Thinking back to the 2024 United Kingdom General Election, which party did you vote for at the time, or did you not vote?

Base: 604

Labour

31.3%

189

[Don't prompt] Did not vote

19.0%

115

Conservative

17.5%

106

[Don't prompt] Prefer not to say

11.6%

[Don't prompt] Don’t remember

8.8%

Green

5.0%

Liberal Democrats

3.6%

Reform UK

2.5%

Some other party (please specify):

0.7%

mayor_ltv If there were an election for Mayor of Croydon tomorrow, on a scale of 0–10, where 0 is ‘would not vote’ and 10 is ‘certain to vote”, how likely would you be to vote?

Base: 604

10 - certain to vote

50.2%

303

0 - would not vote

11.6%

8.3%

7.6%

4.8%

[Don't prompt] Don't know

4.3%

4.1%

3.6%

2.2%

2.0%

0.8%

0.5%

mayor_vi If the election for the next Mayor of the London Borough of Croydon were being held tomorrow, for which of the following candidates would you vote?

Base: 508

(Don't prompt) Don’t know

29.5%

150

Jason Perry, Conservative

21.5%

109

Rowenna Davis, Labour

19.9%

101

Peter Underwood, Green Party

11.6%

Richard Howard, Liberal Democrat

5.5%

The Reform UK candidate

4.9%

(Don't prompt) Would not vote

3.3%

Another candidate

3.0%

The Your Party candidate

0.8%

mayor_second_choice Now imagine that in the election for the next Mayor of the London Borough of Croydon, you were asked to provide your second choice from the list of candidates. Please indicate your second choice….

Base: 508

(Don't prompt) Don’t know

29.9%

152

(Don't prompt) Would not have a second choice

17.1%

Peter Underwood, Green Party

12.6%

Jason Perry, Conservative

11.0%

Rowenna Davis, Labour

10.2%

Richard Howard, Liberal Democrat

8.5%

The Reform UK candidate

4.1%

(Don't prompt) Would not vote

4.1%

Another candidate

1.4%

The Your Party candidate

1.0%

mayor_winner If the election for the next Mayor of Croydon were being held tomorrow, which of the following candidates do you think would win?

Base: 604

(Don't prompt) Don’t know

40.6%

245

Jason Perry, Conservative

22.4%

135

Rowenna Davis, Labour

21.2%

128

The Reform UK candidate

6.1%

Peter Underwood, Green Party

4.5%

Richard Howard, Liberal Democrat

3.1%

Another candidate

1.2%

The Your Party candidate

1.0%

tactical In 2026, there will be a Croydon Mayoral election. Which of the following statements do you most agree with?

Base: 604

I would not consider voting tactically

44.4%

268

I would consider voting tactically to prevent Reform UK winning

21.0%

127

(Don't prompt) Don't know

19.0%

115

I would consider voting tactically to prevent Labour winning

9.3%

I would consider voting tactically to prevent Jason Perry from being re-elected as Mayor

6.3%

lab_v_reform If it was clear that the Labour candidate was best placed to beat the Reform candidate in the Croydon mayoralty, how likely or unlikely would you be to vote for the Labour candidate instead?

Base: 604

Very likely

28.3%

171

Very unlikely

26.5%

160

(Don't prompt) Don’t know

18.2%

110

Somewhat likely

13.9%

Somewhat unlikely

7.1%

Neither likely or unlikely

6.0%

green_v_reform If it was clear that the Green candidate was best placed to beat the Reform candidate in the Croydon mayoralty, how likely or unlikely would you be to vote for the Green candidate instead?

Base: 604

Very likely

29.8%

180

(Don't prompt) Don’t know

22.8%

138

Very unlikely

22.4%

135

Somewhat likely

14.7%

Neither likely or unlikely

6.0%

Somewhat unlikely

4.3%

vote_method In the Croydon mayoral election this year, how do you intend to vote?

Base: 604

In person on the day

62.1%

375

By post

21.0%

127

(Don't prompt) I don’t intent to vote

6.8%

(Don't prompt) Don’t know

6.8%

By using a proxy

3.3%

mayor_2022 And thinking back to the election for Mayor of Croydon held in May 2022, which candidate did you vote for at the time with your first preference, or did you note vote?

Base: 604

[Don't prompt] I did not vote

24.3%

147

Jason Perry (Conservative)

22.0%

133

[Don't prompt] Don’t remember

20.7%

125

Val Shawcross (Labour and Co-operative Party)

17.1%

103

[Don't prompt] Prefer not to say

10.1%

Peter Underwood (Green Party)

1.8%

Richard Howard (Liberal Democrat)

1.7%

Another candidate (please specify):

1.3%

Andrew Pelling (Independent)

0.3%

Farah London (Taking the Initiative Party)

0.3%

Winston McKenzie (Independent)

0.3%

religion What is your religion, if any?

Base: 604

Christian

31.0%

187

Muslim

29.3%

177

Prefer not to say

18.0%

109

Atheist

11.1%

Other religion (please specify):

5.6%

Hindu

4.0%

Buddhist

0.7%

Sikh

0.3%

agecat_refused If respondents have refused to give exact age, please take from the dialler.

Base: 99

45-54

26.3%

35-44

23.2%

55-64

20.2%

65-74

17.2%

75+

7.1%

25-34

6.1%

sex Please record sex.

Base: 604

Female

51.2%

309

Male

48.8%

295

sex_quota_A_1 sex_quota_A - sex.a=Male

Base: 309

sex.a=Male

100.0%

309

sex_quota_A_2 sex_quota_A - sex.a=Female

Base: 295

sex.a=Female

100.0%

295

education What is your highest level of educational qualifications?

Base: 604

Degree, HNC, HND, RSA Higher Diploma, Professional qualifications (e.g. teaching, nursing, accountancy)

41.9%

253

[DO NOT PROMPT] Refused

15.1%

2+ A Levels, 4+ AS Levels, Level 3 NVQ qualification, ONC, OND

11.3%

No Qualifications

10.3%

5+ O Level Passes/CSEs (Grade 1)/GCSEs (Grades A*-C), 1 A Level/2-3 AS Levels/

7.6%

1-4 O Levels/CSE/GCSEs (any grades), Entry Level / Foundation / Level 1 NVQ qualification

7.1%

Other (vocational/Work-related Qualifications)

5.5%

Apprenticeship / Level 2 NVQ qualification

1.3%

emp1 Which of these activities best describes what you are doing at present?

Base: 604

Retired

31.0%

187

Employed full-time (more than 30 hours plus per week)

29.6%

179

Refused

9.9%

Self-employed

9.4%

Employed in part-time job (30 or fewer hours per week)

8.3%

Unpaid family carer / homemaker

4.3%

Unable to work due to illness or disability

2.8%

Unemployed and actively seeking employment

2.5%

Student

2.2%

ethnicity How would you describe your ethnic origin?

Base: 604

White

39.1%

236

Asian

32.6%

197

Black/African/Caribbean

11.6%

[DO NOT PROMPT] Refused

8.1%

Mixed/multiple ethnic groups

4.8%

Other ethnic group (please specify):

3.8%