Topline — 20260209GD CATI

415 respondents · Unweighted · 27 questions · generated 2026-09-21 13:58 UTC

Provisional: live fieldwork, 415 interviews so far. Percentages are of each question's valid base (missing/not-asked excluded). Right-hand grey figure = count.

Quota fill from response data

Computed directly from the answers, so it stays correct even when a survey's platform quota counter is broken. ⚠ = platform counter disagrees.

ward

Burnage

51/80 ⚠

Gorton and Abbey Hey

73/91 ⚠

Levenshulme

62/85 ⚠

Longsight

70/90 ⚠

Audenshaw

3/54 ⚠

Denton North East

39/49 ⚠

Denton South

53/51 ⚠

Denton West

64/50 ⚠

agecat

18-24

27/84

25-34

43/105

35-44

83/106

45-54

91/86 ⚠

55-64

97/77 ⚠

65-74

74/92

agecat_large

18-34

70/9999

35-54

174/9999

55+

171/9999

sex_quota

Male

204/281 ⚠

Female

211/269 ⚠

ethnicity_quota

White

219/9999 ⚠

Mixed/multiple ethnic groups

21/9999 ⚠

Asian

85/9999 ⚠

Black/African/Caribbean

39/9999 ⚠

[DO NOT PROMPT] Refused

48/9999 ⚠

ethnicity_white_quota

English, Welsh, Scottish, Northern Irish or British

62/9999 ⚠

Irish

1/9999 ⚠

Gypsy or Irish Traveller

0/9999

Roma

0/9999

Other White background

4/9999 ⚠

[DO NOT PROMPT] Refused

0/9999

ward Can I confirm that you live in the [NAME] ward?If they don't know, ask for postcode, so the ward can be looked up here:

Base: 415

Gorton and Abbey Hey

17.6%

Longsight

16.9%

Denton West

15.4%

Levenshulme

14.9%

Denton South

12.8%

Burnage

12.3%

Denton North East

9.4%

Audenshaw

0.7%

eu16 Thinking back to the EU referendum in 2016, how did you vote in the referendum, or did you not vote?

Base: 415

Remain

31.3%

130

Did not vote

27.2%

113

Leave

23.4%

Can't remember

11.1%

Refused

7.0%

ge24_gortonanddenton Thinking back to the last UK General Election, held in July 2024, which party or candidate did you vote for, or did you not vote?

Base: 415

Labour - Andrew Gwynne

39.8%

165

Did not vote

22.7%

Refused

8.9%

Can't remember

8.0%

Conservative - Ruth Welsh

7.7%

Reform - Lee Moffitt

6.3%

Green - Amanda Gardner

3.4%

Liberal Democrats - John Reid

2.2%

Workers Party - Amir Burney

1.2%

m24 Thinking back to the 2024 Greater Manchester mayoral election, which party or candidate did you vote for, or did you not vote?

Base: 415

Did not vote

36.4%

151

Labour - Andy Burnham

35.9%

149

Can't remember

11.8%

Refused

7.5%

Conservative - Laura Evans

3.4%

Green - Hannah Spencer

1.9%

Reform UK - Dan Barker

1.7%

Independent - Nick Buckley

0.7%

Liberal Democrats - Jake Austin

0.7%

ltv In the upcoming by-election on February 26th, on a scale of 0 - 10, where 0 is would not vote and 10 is certain to vote, how likely would you be to vote in this election?

Base: 415

10 - Certain to vote

58.3%

242

0 - Would not vote

14.2%

7.7%

6.3%

3.4%

2.4%

2.2%

1.7%

1.2%

Already voted by post

1.2%

1.0%

0.5%

evi And if the by-election was held today, for which candidate would you vote?

Base: 351

UNDECIDED [DO NOT PROMPT]

27.4%

Reform UK - Matt Goodwin [PROMPT]

22.2%

Labour - Angeliki Stogia [PROMPT]

17.9%

Green Party - Hannah Spencer [PROMPT]

17.4%

REFUSED [DO NOT PROMPT]

9.7%

Conservative - Charlotte Cadden [PROMPT]

2.3%

Liberal Democrats - Jackie Pearcey [PROMPT]

1.7%

Another party [PROMPT - AND FOLLOW UP, WHICH PARTY?]

0.9%

Advance UK - Nick Buckley [PROMPT]

0.6%

evi_post For whom did you vote using your postal vote?

Base: 5

Green Party - Hannah Spencer [PROMPT]

40.0%

Can't remember [Do not prompt]

40.0%

Refused [Do not prompt]

20.0%

evi_undecided Whilst you are undecided, is there a candidate/party that you are leaning towards the most?

Base: 96

UNDECIDED [DO NOT PROMPT]

65.6%

Green Party - Hannah Spencer [PROMPT]

13.5%

Labour - Angeliki Stogia [PROMPT]

9.4%

Reform UK - Matt Goodwin [PROMPT]

6.2%

Liberal Democrats - Jackie Pearcey [PROMPT]

2.1%

REFUSED [DO NOT PROMPT]

2.1%

Advance UK - Nick Buckley [PROMPT]

1.0%

evi_second_choice And if you had to pick a party or candidate that would be your second choice, which party or candidate would you choose?

Base: 351

UNDECIDED [DO NOT PROMPT]

34.5%

121

REFUSED [DO NOT PROMPT]

21.9%

Green Party - Hannah Spencer [PROMPT]

13.7%

Labour - Angeliki Stogia [PROMPT]

12.5%

Conservative - Charlotte Cadden [PROMPT]

5.4%

Liberal Democrats - Jackie Pearcey [PROMPT]

4.3%

Reform UK - Matt Goodwin [PROMPT]

3.4%

Another party [PROMPT - AND FOLLOW UP, WHICH PARTY?]

3.1%

Social Democratic Party - Sebastian Moore [PROMPT]

0.6%

Advance UK - Nick Buckley [PROMPT]

0.6%

agecat_refused If respondents have refused to give exact age, please take from the dialler.

Base: 48

55-64

27.1%

35-44

25.0%

45-54

25.0%

65-74

8.3%

75+

8.3%

18-24

4.2%

25-34

2.1%

sex Please record sex.

Base: 415

Male

50.8%

211

Female

49.2%

204

sex_quota_A_1 sex_quota_A - sex.a=Male

Base: 204

sex.a=Male

100.0%

204

sex_quota_A_2 sex_quota_A - sex.a=Female

Base: 211

sex.a=Female

100.0%

211

education What is your highest level of educational qualifications?

Base: 415

Degree, HNC, HND, RSA Higher Diploma, Professional qualifications (e.g. teaching, nursing, accountancy)

32.5%

135

1-4 O Levels/CSE/GCSEs (any grades), Entry Level / Foundation / Level 1 NVQ qualification

14.9%

[DO NOT PROMPT] Refused

14.0%

2+ A Levels, 4+ AS Levels, Level 3 NVQ qualification, ONC, OND

12.3%

No Qualifications

8.4%

Other (vocational/Work-related Qualifications)

8.0%

5+ O Level Passes/CSEs (Grade 1)/GCSEs (Grades A*-C), 1 A Level/2-3 AS Levels/

7.0%

Apprenticeship / Level 2 NVQ qualification

2.9%

ethnicity How would you describe your ethnic origin?

Base: 415

White

52.8%

219

Asian

20.5%

[DO NOT PROMPT] Refused

11.6%

Black/African/Caribbean

9.4%

Mixed/multiple ethnic groups

5.1%

Other ethnic group (please specify):

0.7%

ethnicity_quota_A_1 ethnicity_quota_A - ethnicity.a=White

Base: 219

ethnicity.a=White

100.0%

219

ethnicity_quota_A_2 ethnicity_quota_A - ethnicity.a=Mixed/multiple ethnic groups

Base: 21

ethnicity.a=Mixed/multiple ethnic groups

100.0%

ethnicity_quota_A_3 ethnicity_quota_A - ethnicity.a=Asian

Base: 85

ethnicity.a=Asian

100.0%

ethnicity_quota_A_4 ethnicity_quota_A - ethnicity.a=Black/African/Caribbean

Base: 39

ethnicity.a=Black/African/Caribbean

100.0%

ethnicity_quota_A_5 ethnicity_quota_A - ethnicity.a=Other ethnic group (please specify):

Base: 3

ethnicity.a=Other ethnic group (please specify):

100.0%

ethnicity_quota_A_6 ethnicity_quota_A - ethnicity.a=[DO NOT PROMPT] Refused

Base: 48

ethnicity.a=[DO NOT PROMPT] Refused

100.0%

ethnicity_white Which of the following best describes your White ethnic background?

Base: 67

English, Welsh, Scottish, Northern Irish or British

92.5%

Other White background

6.0%

Irish

1.5%

ethnicity_white_quota_A_1 ethnicity_white_quota_A - ethnicity_white.a=English, Welsh, Scottish, Northern Irish or British

Base: 62

ethnicity_white.a=English, Welsh, Scottish, Northern Irish or British

100.0%

ethnicity_white_quota_A_2 ethnicity_white_quota_A - ethnicity_white.a=Irish

Base: 1

ethnicity_white.a=Irish

100.0%

ethnicity_white_quota_A_5 ethnicity_white_quota_A - ethnicity_white.a=Other White background

Base: 4

ethnicity_white.a=Other White background

100.0%

emp1 Which of these activities best describes what you are doing at present?

Base: 415

Employed full-time (more than 30 hours plus per week)

37.1%

154

Retired

16.1%

Refused

11.6%

Self-employed

10.8%

Employed in part-time job (30 or fewer hours per week)

10.6%

Unable to work due to illness or disability

4.8%

Unemployed and actively seeking employment

4.6%

Unpaid family carer / homemaker

2.2%

Student

2.2%

recruitment Thank you for your time today sir / madam. Survation regularly do polls in the UK to help charities and academics better understand their opinions. Would you be willing to be recontacted 2-3 times a year to participate in similar pollsAs

Base: 114

NO (OK that’s fine, thank you for your time today)

74.6%

YES (Would you be willing to be contacted by email?)

25.4%