Topline — 2026-07-02-CP-01 CATI

508 respondents · Unweighted · 17 questions · generated 2026-09-21 10:53 UTC

Provisional: live fieldwork, 508 interviews so far. Percentages are of each question's valid base (missing/not-asked excluded). Right-hand grey figure = count.

Quota fill from response data

Computed directly from the answers, so it stays correct even when a survey's platform quota counter is broken. ⚠ = platform counter disagrees.

ward

Burnage

30/80 ⚠

Gorton and Abbey Hey

54/91 ⚠

Levenshulme

55/85 ⚠

Longsight

58/90 ⚠

Audenshaw

43/54 ⚠

Denton North East

47/49 ⚠

Denton South

21/51 ⚠

Denton West

1/50 ⚠

agecat

18-24

12/84

25-34

14/105

35-44

30/106

45-54

84/86

55-64

106/150

65-74

262/150 ⚠

agecat_large

18-34

26/9999

35-54

114/9999

55+

368/9999

sex_quota

Male

269/281 ⚠

Female

239/269 ⚠

ward Can I confirm that you live in the [NAME] ward?[If they don't know, ask for postcode, so the ward can be looked up here]

Base: 508

Canvey Island North

11.4%

Canvey Island East

10.8%

Canvey Island Central

10.6%

Canvey Island Winter Gardens

9.3%

Tarpots

9.1%

Thundersley North

8.9%

Canvey Island South

8.5%

St Mary's

6.5%

Appleton

5.9%

St George's

5.5%

St Michael's

4.9%

Thundersley South

4.3%

Hadleigh St James

4.1%

Pitsea South East

0.2%

eu16 Thinking back to the EU referendum in 2016, how did you vote in the referendum, or did you not vote?

Base: 508

[PROMPT] Leave

47.0%

239

[DO NOT PROMPT] Did not vote

19.1%

[PROMPT] Remain

16.9%

[DO NOT PROMPT] Can’t remember

9.8%

[DO NOT PROMPT] Refused

7.1%

ge24 Thinking back to the last UK General Election, held in July 2024, which party or candidate did you vote for, or did you not vote?

Base: 508

[PROMPT] Conservative - Rebecca Harris

27.0%

137

[DO NOT PROMPT] Did not vote

25.0%

127

[PROMPT] Reform UK - Keiron McGill

15.7%

[PROMPT] Labour - Mark Maguire

10.8%

[DO NOT PROMPT] Refused

9.4%

[DO NOT PROMPT] Can’t remember

7.5%

[PROMPT] Green - Bob Chapman

3.1%

[PROMPT] Liberal Democrats - James Willis

1.4%

ltv If there were to be a general election, on a scale of 0-10 where 0 means would not vote and 10 means certain to vote, how likely would you be to vote?

Base: 508

10 - Certain to vote

65.2%

331

0 - Would not vote

15.4%

6.7%

3.9%

2.8%

1.6%

1.2%

1.0%

0.8%

0.6%

evi If a general election were held tomorrow and candidates from all political parties were standing in your constituency, for which of the following parties’ candidates would you vote?

Base: 430

The Reform UK candidate [PROMPT]

32.6%

140

The Conservative candidate [PROMPT]

22.3%

UNDECIDED [DO NOT PROMPT]

16.0%

The Labour candidate [PROMPT]

9.3%

REFUSED [DO NOT PROMPT]

8.6%

The Restore Britain candidate [PROMPT]

4.2%

The Green candidate [PROMPT]

4.0%

Another party [PROMPT - AND FOLLOW UP, WHICH PARTY?]

1.6%

The Liberal Democrats candidate [PROMPT]

1.4%

evi_named If a general election were held tomorrow and candidates from all political parties were standing in your constituency, for which of these candidates would you vote?

Base: 430

Rebecca Harris, Conservative [PROMPT]

29.3%

126

Zia Yusuf, Reform UK [PROMPT]

29.1%

125

UNDECIDED [DO NOT PROMPT]

12.6%

Mark Maguire, Labour [PROMPT]

9.5%

REFUSED [DO NOT PROMPT]

8.6%

Bob Chapman, Green [PROMPT]

3.7%

The Restore Britain candidate [PROMPT]

3.7%

Another party [PROMPT - AND FOLLOW UP, WHICH PARTY?]

1.9%

James Willis, Liberal Democrats [PROMPT]

1.6%

evi_undecided Whilst you are undecided, is there a candidate/party that you are leaning towards the most?

Base: 54

UNDECIDED [DO NOT PROMPT]

74.1%

Zia Yusuf, Reform UK [PROMPT]

11.1%

Another party [PROMPT - AND FOLLOW UP, WHICH PARTY?]

7.4%

REFUSED [DO NOT PROMPT]

5.6%

Rebecca Harris, Conservative [PROMPT]

1.9%

issues_coded_new [Caller to code open text response to top issue]

Base: 508

Other

31.3%

159

Immigration

24.2%

123

None of these/Don’t know

14.2%

Cost of living and financial hardship

8.3%

Health and social care

6.7%

Jobs and economic growth

4.7%

Housing - affordability and renters rights

3.9%

Crime and public safety

2.2%

Transport (buses, trams, trains)

2.0%

Clean air, green spaces

2.0%

Skills, technical education and employment

0.6%

q1_1 q1 - To what extent do you approve or disapprove of the following figures? Andy Burnham

Base: 508

Strongly disapprove

31.1%

158

Don’t know

30.5%

155

Neither approve nor disapprove

15.9%

Somewhat approve

9.4%

Somewhat disapprove

9.1%

Strongly approve

3.9%

q1_2 q1 - To what extent do you approve or disapprove of the following figures? Nigel Farage

Base: 508

Strongly disapprove

30.7%

156

Strongly approve

19.5%

Somewhat approve

18.9%

Don’t know

12.8%

Neither approve nor disapprove

11.0%

Somewhat disapprove

7.1%

q2 To what extent, if at all, do you agree or disagree with the following statement?“Britain is broken.”

Base: 508

Strongly agree

49.2%

250

Somewhat agree

21.5%

109

Somewhat disagree

11.2%

Strongly disagree

9.1%

Neither agree nor disagree

4.7%

Don’t know

4.3%

agecat_refused If respondents have refused to give exact age, please take from the dialler.

Base: 45

65-74

33.3%

55-64

24.4%

75+

20.0%

35-44

11.1%

45-54

11.1%

sex Please record sex.

Base: 508

Female

53.0%

269

Male

47.0%

239

sex_quota_A_1 sex_quota_A - sex.a=Male

Base: 269

sex.a=Male

100.0%

269

sex_quota_A_2 sex_quota_A - sex.a=Female

Base: 239

sex.a=Female

100.0%

239

education What is your highest level of educational qualifications?

Base: 508

Degree, HNC, HND, RSA Higher Diploma, Professional qualifications (e.g. teaching, nursing, accountancy)

21.5%

109

No Qualifications

18.3%

2+ A Levels, 4+ AS Levels, Level 3 NVQ qualification, ONC, OND

14.8%

1-4 O Levels/CSE/GCSEs (any grades), Entry Level / Foundation / Level 1 NVQ qualification

12.2%

[DO NOT PROMPT] Refused

10.8%

5+ O Level Passes/CSEs (Grade 1)/GCSEs (Grades A*-C), 1 A Level/2-3 AS Levels/

9.3%

Other (vocational/Work-related Qualifications)

7.3%

Apprenticeship / Level 2 NVQ qualification

5.9%

emp1 Which of these activities best describes what you are doing at present?

Base: 508

Retired

49.6%

252

Employed full-time (more than 30 hours plus per week)

20.7%

105

Self-employed

8.1%

Refused

7.5%

Employed in part-time job (30 or fewer hours per week)

6.9%

Unable to work due to illness or disability

3.3%

Unpaid family carer / homemaker

2.2%

Unemployed and actively seeking employment

1.2%

Student

0.6%